The National Hurricane Center’s Cone of Uncertainty

National Hurricane Center (NHC) Hurricane Specialists John Cangialosi and Robbie Berg explain the video below how the cone of uncertainty is created, what its limitations are and what it can be used for.

What you should do and shouldn’t do with the forecast cone is also discussed in the video. The video was produced and directed by Anthony Reynes. Reynes works in the Miami/South Florida National Weather Service Forecast Office.

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The National Hurricane Center has issued its first official two-day Tropical Weather Outlook for the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane season

And so it begins… the Atlantic Hurricane season!

The National Hurricane Center has issued its first official two-day Tropical Weather Outlook for the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane season – read in full below.

A broad area of low pressure accompanied by cloudiness and showers is centered near the west coast of the Yucatan Peninsula.

The low is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward over the southern Bay of Campeche during the weekend and near the east coast of Mexico early next week.

Gradual development of this system is possible as long as it remains over water, and a tropical depression could form early next week.

Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely produce heavy rainfall over portions of southern and southeastern Mexico during the next few days.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.

Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which will run until November 30.

RELATED: This year’s Hurricane season will be near normal, NOAA forecasts

One named storm, Andrea, has already formed this year in May. The next named storm that forms this season will be Barry.